General election 2019: IFS rejects Labour's claim 95% taxpayers would not pay extra for its plans – as it happened

Last modified: 12: 35 AM GMT+0

Summary of Thursday's developments

  • Labour has said public sector workers would get a pay rise worth more than £1,600 on average from April under its plans.
  • Overseas residents and companies buying properties in the UK will be forced to pay more stamp duty under Conservative proposals. On top of any private sector homes built, Labour has committed to building 150,000 a year in its manifesto while the Lib Dems have pledged to building 300,000 new homes a year.
  • British orphans whose parents died in Syria are being repatriated to the UK, the foreign secretary, Dominic Raab, said.The announcement follows a tweet from the Kurdish administration in Syria that suggested three children were handed to the UK authorities.

Barry Gardiner, Labour’s candidate in Brent North, discussing his party’s manifesto on BBC’s Newsnight.

“Jeremy Corbyn has described this manifesto as radical, yet you appear to have bottled it in some key policies. Why have you pledged to outlaw private schools?

@EmmbaBarnett challenges Labour's @BarryGardiner on the controversial policy voted through at conference #Newsnight pic.twitter.com/OevoMlNNjA

— BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) November 21, 2019

Overseas residents and companies buying properties in the UK will be forced to pay more stamp duty under Conservative proposals to help more Britons get on the housing ladder.

Buyers who are not tax resident in the UK will be made to pay a higher rate of stamp duty land tax if the Tories win a majority at the election.

The surcharge will be levied on top of all other stamp duty payable and charged at 3 per cent.

The party estimates the measure will raise up to £120 million a year, which would be directed at programmes to tackle rough sleeping.

Currently, people who reside abroad and companies can buy homes as easily as UK residents.

Chief secretary to the Treasury, Rishi Sunak, said: “The Conservative Party is levelling up opportunities across the country, helping millions of people into home ownership.

“Evidence shows that by adding significant amounts of demand to limited housing supply, purchases by non-residents inflate house prices.

“That is why we are introducing a higher rate of stamp duty for non-UK residents that will help to address this issue and could raise up to £120 million.”

The Lib Dems’ Chuka Umunna and housing secretary Robert Jenrick clash over the issue of public trust in politicians.

“All of those bar charts that the Lib Dems are putting on their leaflets, they’re perfectly reasonable are they?”

“I don’t lie to the Queen, like your prime minister”@ChukaUmunna and @RobertJenrick clash on the issue of public trust in politicians. #bbcqt pic.twitter.com/bYIvWf2pZA

— BBC Question Time (@bbcquestiontime) November 21, 2019

Richard Burgon, Labour’s candidate for Leeds East, on the party’s manifesto.

“A £10 an hour minimum wage, abolishing zero hour contracts, getting rid of universal credit”@RichardBurgon says the Labour Party will regain public trust in politicians by delivering on their manifesto promises. #bbcqt pic.twitter.com/VkwnsIQrxz

— BBC Question Time (@bbcquestiontime) November 21, 2019

Jeremy Corbyn has tweeted about Boris Johnson not participating in a leaders’ debate which had ben scheduled for Sunday.

Meanwhile, the first ever election leaders’ debate focusing on the climate crisis will be broadcast by Channel 4 next week with the prime minister the only major party leader set to be absent.

Channel 4 News said it was awaiting confirmation from Johnson as to whether he would take part and could place an empty chair in the place of the PM if he declines to attend.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/21/boris-johnson-election-leaders-debate-climate-crisis

It seems Boris Johnson has gone off debating. He doesn’t want you to hear the truth: he’s bought by billionaires and is preparing to sell out the NHS to Donald Trump. https://t.co/n6c8UAqXGX

— Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) November 21, 2019

Housing secretary Robert Jenrick on Question Time on his party’s strategy.

“We think the people who create wealth are heroes”@RobertJenrick says the Conservatives believe the way to fund public services is to create a ‘thriving free market economy’. #bbcqt pic.twitter.com/LnWelF1grQ

— BBC Question Time (@bbcquestiontime) November 21, 2019

The Lib Dems’ Chuka Umunna on the BBC’s Question Time discussing Brexit.

“You cannot ignore the elephant in the room which is Brexit”@ChukaUmunna says ending free movement will make it ‘incredibly difficult’ for political parties to carry out their manifesto promises. #bbcqt pic.twitter.com/QyLdKdpZsV

— BBC Question Time (@bbcquestiontime) November 21, 2019

Friday’s Mirror front page

Friday's Mirror: "On your side" #BBCPapers #TomorrowsPapersToday (via @hendopolis) pic.twitter.com/Mk0dK9cmUJ

— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) November 21, 2019

Tomorrow’s Financial Times front page

FINANCIAL TIMES: Corbyn’s tax and spend manifesto stirs spectre of 1970’s for business #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/y707mlhL1w

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

The Times is also splashing on Labour’s election manifesto.

TIMES: Corbyn hails £83bn dream spending plan #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/Z68XMZsbzv

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

Updated

Friday’s Daily Express front page

EXPRESS : £80bn raid on YOUR wallets #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/qxtTVPZk5s

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon believes Scotland does not want to leave the EU and she still wants to hold an independence referendum in 2020.

She told BBC Scotland that the way to solve the country’s “problem of having our future determined by Westminster” was to be independent.

“The UK is in a mess right now – it’s not a mess of my making, and it’s got to plot its way out of that.”

The i’s front page for Friday

I: Corbyn’s blueprint for power #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/yfDEoA6Qod

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

The Liberal Democrats have committed to building 300,000 new homes a year.

A third of the homes planned by the Lib Dems would be social rented homes, with a 10 billion capital infrastructure investment to support this.

Labour has committed to building 150,000 a year in its manifesto, two-thirds of which would be council houses, with the rest being “genuinely affordable homes”.

Meanwhile, the Conservatives said they would build “at least” a million more homes in the next parliament - a move housing charity Shelter said would be a “significant disappointment to many” as it is actually 100,000 fewer than the current target.

The Lib Dems would also set up a “Rent to Own” model for social housing and providing government-backed tenancy deposit loans for all first-time renters under 30.

The party’s housing spokesman Tim Farron said the Lib Dems are “the only party with a bold plan to build a brighter future for all.”

He added: “Whether renting or buying, across the country too many people - people who work hard and play by the rules - are struggling to afford good homes in the right location. We are facing a national housing crisis.

“To meet demand we need to build 300,000 homes a year. Both Labour and the Tories, in pursuing Brexit, show they are willing to risk 10% of our construction workers who are from the EU, making this crisis worse.

“Liberal Democrats will build 100,000 social homes for rent every year, to ensure that everybody has a safe and secure home. We will tackle rogue landlords with mandatory licensing, and promote long-term lettings.

“We will also tackle wasted vacant housing stock by allowing local authorities to increase council tax by up to 500% where homes are left empty for more than six months.”

Updated

Friday’s Guardian front page

GUARDIAN: Corbyn unveils Labour’s most radical manifesto for decades #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/g7Vlufz2Rf

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

Tomorrow’s Indy front page

INDEPENDENT DIGITAL ; Babies’ lives ‘put at risk’ by focus on natural births #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/AfLCy6c9kl

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

Friday’s City AM front page

CITY AM: ‘Not credible’#TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/FZqwSVoSIE

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

Tomorrow’s front pages are starting to filter through, starting with the Telegraph

TELEGRAPH: UK starts bringing back ISIL children #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/r2A1ZErFLE

— Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) November 21, 2019

Sir Keir Starmer has said Britain “won’t go back to normal” after Brexit or whether there is a vote to remain.

During a meeting in support of Edinburgh Labour candidate Ian Murray, the shadow Brexit secretary said regardless of the decision made after his party’s proposed second referendum, the country will remain divided.

The claim comes on the same day his party released its manifesto with a promise to negotiate a new deal with the EU and hold a second referendum on the issue within six months.

The shadow Brexit secretary said the only way to unite the country will be to take action to ensure people no longer feel disenfranchised.

Sir Keir told the meeting: “Anybody who thinks that the deal with Europe is going to resolve the issue, needs to think again.

“This isn’t going to be resolved. There isn’t going to be a happy day, when it’s either the deal or remain is decided and it just goes back to normal.

“That’s never going to happen.”

Brexit Party candidate Ann Widdecombe has repeated her claims that she was offered a role by the Conservatives in the Brexit negotiations if she stood down in the general election in an interview on LBC.

In response, the Lib Dem’s Brexit spokesman Tom Brake said the allegation “must be added to the police investigation into whether peerages were offered to Brexit Party candidates to stand down”.

Last week, Boris Johnson said claims that Brexit Party election candidates had been offered peerages to encourage them to stand down were “nonsense”.

Robbie Williams has disclosed he will be voting for the first time in the upcoming election and believes it will be an entertaining outcome.

The singer said: “I couldn’t possibly say. The next question is: ‘Who?’ I couldn’t possibly say the right thing to that question.

“Do you know what? It is going to be really entertaining. That’s how much I know about the run-up to this election and the night itself.

“I’m going to be glued to the television like everybody else. And ‘yes’, the answer is.

“The first time I will be voting is in this election. I have now got the right to vote by post. But I’m not saying who.”

There are five days left to register to vote in next month’s election. The deadline is 23:59 GMT on November 26th.

Updated

Channel 4 News has called on Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage to participate in a debate on climate change ahead of the general election.

While the leaders of Labour, the Lib Dems, the Green Party and the SNP have all agreed to take part, the broadcaster said it is still waiting for responses from the leaders of both the Conservative and Brexit Party.

We await answers from @BorisJohnson & @Nigel_Farage we are open to all dates just the time won’t change - @Channel4News @7 Monday-Friday - let’s get the Climate Debate Done- before it’s too late #emergencyonplanetearth https://t.co/G4bW79ow6H

— Ben de Pear (@bendepear) November 21, 2019

My colleague Jim Waterson on the controversy over Jeremy Corbyn’s interview with the Evening Standard newspaper.

Just spoke to Lynn Barber... asked if she knew about this correction: “They did phone me and say they were going to have to. I'm not up to speed at all.”

Asked if Corbyn said those precise words: “This is what they've been asking me about and I haven't time to check." https://t.co/igyAqxGQdN

— Jim Waterson (@jimwaterson) November 21, 2019

The shadow chancellor, John McDonnell, has said that if Labour decides on a Brexit deal, he’ll “abide by the democratic wishes” of the party.

Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell says if the Labour Party decides on a Brexit deal over Remain, he'll "abide by the democratic wishes" of the party. pic.twitter.com/pleChBVJCc

— Channel 4 News (@Channel4News) November 21, 2019

Updated

More from Nigel Farage. He has also pledged that once Brexit is concluded, he will walk away from politics and his campaigning has nothing to do with ego -

https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/1197577283051147265

The Brexit party leader, Nigel Farage, has said he will abstain from voting in the election.

"So you've got the leader of the Brexit Party who can't vote for his own party?!"@Nigel_Farage explains to @ranvir01 why he probably won't vote in the #GE2019

You can see more of her interview with the Brexit Party leader for @ITVTonight at 7.30pm on @itv pic.twitter.com/D7lUfr4OcS

— ITV News (@itvnews) November 21, 2019

Updated

Green Party co-leader Sian Berry on its stance on nuclear energy -

Neil asks “If the Greens ban nuclear power, where will our energy come from?”

Sian Berry, Green Party co-leader says “we have to invest in more storage” adding “we need a much smarter energy system”#BBCYourQuestions https://t.co/cMbdJKtMdG pic.twitter.com/voY7KE8VE8

— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 21, 2019

Updated

The Greens’ co-leader Sian Berry on the party’s environmental policies:

“What are the Green Party’s plans for getting a Brexit deal done?” asks Ben

Green Party co-leader Sian Berry says, “What we lack at the moment is people having made a decision on Brexit knowing what it would involve”#BBCYourQuestions https://t.co/cMbdJKtMdG pic.twitter.com/GP7u2q8H5W

— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 21, 2019

Updated

British orphans whose parents died in Syria being returned to the UK, Raab confirms

British orphans whose parents died in Syria are being returned to the UK, the foreign secretary, Dominic Raab, has said.

The announcement follows a tweet from the Kurdish administration in Syria that suggested three children were handed to the UK authorities today.

Raab told MPs last month that as long as there was no security threat, children rescued from the fighting in northern Syria could be allowed to return home.

He has now confirmed that the first children were in the process of being returned to the UK.

Raab said: “These innocent, orphaned children should never have been subjected to the horrors of war. We have facilitated their return home because it was the right thing to do. Now they must be allowed the privacy and given the support to return to a normal life.”

Dr Abdulkarim Omar, the de facto foreign minister of the self-styled autonomous administration of north and east Syria, tweeted earlier: “Today, 21 November 2019, three British orphans from Isis parents were handed over to a delegation representing the British foreign ministry, headed by Mr Martin Longden, according to an official repatriation document signed by the self-administration and the British government.”

Updated

Nigel Farage has faced renewed criticism for discussing tropes and conspiracy theories associated with the far right and antisemitism after it emerged he said migration would “imperil the future of our civilisation” and called Goldman Sachs “the enemy”.

In an interview this year with Revelation TV, a UK evangelical Christian channel, the Brexit party leader alleged that banks and multinational corporations were trying to created a dictatorial world government.

Updated

An anti-Brexit campaign group has bought thebrexitparty.com and is offering to sell the domain name to Nigel Farage for more than £1m.

Led By Donkeys said the fee would increase by £50,000 each day and if paid would be donated to the Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants, a charity.

The move comes after Brexit party lawyers contacted Led By Donkeys asking them to remove their logo from the site. The party said the campaign group was refusing to transfer the domain name, which is similar to that of their official site, thebrexitparty.org.

The website features a rising total of the cost being sought, along with an “election advent calendar” offering examples of the “lies, lunacy and hypocrisy” of the Conservatives and Brexit party every day until the election on 12 December.

Oliver Knowles, a co-founder of Led By Donkeys, said: “When Farage and his millionaire backers set up the Brexit party, they didn’t have the foresight to buy up all of the websites with their own name – and we did.

“With the advent calendar, we are telling the story of the Brexit party and the Tory party, who are now election partners, and the threat they represent to the country.”

All versions of the Brexit party logo have been removed from the website.

Updated

Ireland’s justice minister, Charlie Flanagan, has said he was “extremely concerned” to learn of another incident of people being found in a sealed lorry container, on this occasion onboard a ferry.

Detectives are speaking to the driver and owners of the lorry after 16 people were discovered inside on a Stena Line ferry that arrived in Rosslare, Co Wexford, this afternoon from Cherbourg in France.

Police said they were investigating possible immigration offences and had seized a truck involved in the incident.

Flanagan said: “There is an active garda investigation under way and I would appeal to anyone with any information on these nefarious activities to come forward. I welcome the statement issued by An Garda Siochána earlier today.

“The persons found in the lorry container are now being cared for by state services. As part of that care, they will receive initial medical assessments.”

Updated

Afternoon summary

  • Labour has said public sector workers would get a pay rise worth more than £1,600 on average from April under its plans. It is proposing to give them a 5% pay rise. According to Labour, this would mean newly qualified nurses getting a rise of more than £1,200 on average; firefighters more than £1,800; teachers in state-funded schools almost £2,000; junior doctors almost £1,400; police constables almost £2,000; army sergeants more than £1,700; civil servants more than £1,300; and council workers more than £1,200.

That’s all from me for today.

My colleague Nadeem Badshah is now in charge.

Updated

Scotland’s first minister, Nicola Sturgeon, has insisted due process must be respected after her predecessor appeared in court on a series of sexual assault charges.

Alex Salmond pleaded not guilty to 14 separate allegations involving 10 women. He faces a charge of attempted rape, 11 charges of sexual assault, including one with intent to rape, and two charges of indecent assault.

Speaking outside the high court in Edinburgh, Salmond said: “I am innocent and I will defend my position vigorously.”

Sturgeon said her only interest was that “justice is done, whatever that might be.”

The SNP leader, who was campaigning in Glasgow, said: “This is a live, ongoing criminal trail so there is nothing it is appropriate for me to say. In fact there is nothing it is appropriate for anybody to say because it is absolutely essential that due process is allowed to take its course.

“My only interest as first minister and as an ordinary citizen is that justice is done, whatever that might be. So I will say nothing that in any way might influence or prejudice that trial because it is vital that goes ahead and due process is respected.”

Updated

Boris Johnson has pulled out of a planned Channel 4 leaders’ debate, according to Channel 4’s Louisa Compton.

Gutted we’ve had to cancel a planned Leaders debate on @Channel4 for this Sunday. @jeremycorbyn had agreed to take part but, after many weeks of intense discussion, we were unable to secure agreement from @BorisJohnson team. @krishgm wld have presented 1/2

— Louisa Compton (@louisa_compton) November 21, 2019

Boris Johnson’s main election pitch is that, unlike Labour, he would “get Brexit done”. He says he would take the UK out of the EU before the end of January, and he claims he would be able to negotiate a trade deal with the EU before the end of 2020 so that there would be no need to extend the transition period (the period during which the UK is out of the EU, but EU rules still apply, to allow people time to prepare for Brexit proper). Even though many experts think the transition period will have to be extended for up to two years, the government has said categorically that it will not allow it.

According to the BBC’s Europe editor, Katya Adler, Johnson’s position is implausible. She explains why in a good Twitter thread starting here.

« Not in my wildest dreams would I imagine that a possibility » is how an influential European diplomat responded to Boris Johnson’s assertion that a trade deal with the EU can be completed by December next year /1

— katya adler (@BBCkatyaadler) November 21, 2019

Labour plan to not raise state pension age beyond 66 could cost £24bn by late 2050s, says IFS

The Labour manifesto says the party would abandon plans introduced by the government to raise the state pension age beyond 66. It says:

Labour will abandon the Tories’ plans to raise the state pension age, leaving it at 66. We will review retirement ages for physically arduous and stressful occupations, including shift workers, in the public and private sectors.

According to the Institute for Fiscal Studiesbriefing on the Labour manifesto plans , this could add around £24bn a year to the cost of state pensions by the middle of the century. This is from the IFS’s Rowena Crawford.

Keeping the state pension age at 66 would be costly, potentially adding around £24bn per year to the cost of state pensions by the late 2050s. This would be on top of the dramatic, £38bn per year, increase in spending on state pensions projected even with the planned increase in the SPA to 69. Increasing the SPA is a coherent response to increases in life expectancy at older ages and would keep the average share of life spent in receipt of a state pension constant. Concerns about those unable to work at older ages, or groups who have shorter life expectancies, would be better addressed through more targeted policies.

Boris Johnson has been at a building site in Bedford today promoting Conservative plans to help people buy a home. (See 9.48am.) As well as saying that the Tories would build 1 million more homes over the next five years, he mentioned two specific measures for would-be homeowners.

Number one: helping local people so that they have a 30% discount on their home. And they’ve got to make sure that when the home is sold it goes on to a local person. Also, helping people who are renting to get the high-value mortgage they may need to buy the home.

But the impact of the first home programme for local people is relatively limited. According to the Tory briefing, by the mid-2020s this discount could apply to up to 19,000 homes. (See 9.48am.) And, as Sky’s Ed Conway reported earlier (see 10.58am), there are some doubts as to the feasibility of the new mortgage products Johnson is proposing.

According to the Press Association, Johnson smoothed cement and laid a few bricks on a metre-high wall at a new home at the Willow Grove estate in Bedford. He remarked that his efforts were “not bad”, before looking back on his work and adding: “Kind of.”

Updated

From the Daily Mirror’s Pippa Crerar

It appears that Boris Johnson’s battlebus has been stranded... by a mirror issue. 🤔

https://t.co/0XPNvR3bmc

— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) November 21, 2019

IFS says Labour's plans would raise tax burden to highest sustained level since WW2

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has said Labour’s plans would push the UK’s tax burden well above levels that have been sustained at any time since the second world war, and expressed scepticism about whether the burden would fall exclusively on the better off and companies.

It says the Labour manifesto proposes “an enormous increase in the amounts they want to raise from corporation tax. If their proposals did raise the sums they suggest then we would be raising more in corporation tax, as a fraction of national income, than any other country in the G7, and more than almost anywhere else in the OECD. This would clearly come with substantial risks.”

Labour outlined plans to raise corporation tax to 28%, put up income taxes to those earning more than £80,000, levy higher taxes on multinationals and increase the take from capital gains tax and dividend taxation. The £83bn would match the spending commitments laid out in the manifesto.

In an analysis, the IFS said:

In the end, it is unlikely that one could raise the sums suggested by Labour from the tax policies they set out. If you want to transform the scale and scope of the state then you need to be clear that the tax increases required to do that will need to be widely shared rather than pretending that everything can be paid for by companies and the rich.

Updated

Billionaires and financiers are among those who have helped the Conservative party raise £5.7m in a single week, according to official figures.

Data published by the Electoral Commission on donations received between 6 and 12 November shows the Tories far outstripped other parties, most of which raised a couple of hundred thousand pounds during the same period.

The top donors to the Conservatives were:

  • John Gore, a theatre producer and recent addition to the Sunday Times rich list, with an estimated net worth of £1.5bn. He donated £1m.
  • WA Capital, the vehicle of the Dunelm Group founder Bill Adderley, worth an estimated £1.4bn. He donated £500,000.
  • Trailfinders Limited, a travel company, donated £500,000.
  • Countywide Developments Ltd, which is owned by the property billionaire Tony Gallagher, donated £500,000.

The Tories received £4.1m in the first week of the 2017 general election campaign.

Updated

Here is Jeremy Corbyn’s one-minute summary of his manifesto plans.

How did I do?#RealChange #LabourManifesto pic.twitter.com/a1ryOvHvx4

— Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) November 21, 2019

Labour manifesto: national care service and an end to two-child benefits limit

The prospect of more allotments, pubs saved from closure and an end to rising retirement ages are among the promises, but the biggest social reforms would be Labour’s abolition of universal credit and the creation of a national care service.

Labour would scrap the benefit cap, costing £185m a year, and the two-child limit for benefits, costing £2bn a year. An extra £200m a year would be spent on human staff to end the “digital only” method of communicating with claimants. Another £520m a year would go on extra benefit payments for disabled people and Labour would halt “dehumanising” fitness-for-work tests.

The national care service would offer free personal care, beginning with elderly people, an end to 15-minute care visits, paid travel time for care workers and a £6.95 weekly benefit increase for full-time carers. Around £800m a year would go into a new national youth service, reversing cuts to clubs and youth workers.

Updated

Waiting lists could lengthen under Labour's plans to end privatisation in NHS, private providers claim

Private health firms say Labour’s ambitious plan to end the privatisation of NHS care would force patients to wait longer for treatment and lead to the waiting list for non-urgent operations in England, currently at 4.4 million people, to grow substantially.

The Independent Healthcare Providers Network (IHPN) has strongly criticised Labour’s pledge to “end and reverse privatisation in the NHS in the next parliament”. David Hare, the group’s chief executive, said:

Labour’s stance of removing the independent sector from the NHS is deeply misguided and would significantly undermine patients’ ability to get the care they need.

Rather than improve patients’ access to care, removing the independent sector from NHS service delivery would dramatically lengthen waiting times and add millions to NHS waiting lists. For planned care, where over four million patients are waiting for treatment today, the NHS would need to build the equivalent of 42 extra hospitals just to stand still – a complete waste of taxpayers’ money.

The IHPN’s members include some of the biggest private providers of NHS care, such as Care UK, BMI Healthcare, InHealth and Newmedica.

The Labour manifesto says:

Every penny spent on privatisation and outsourcing is a penny less spent on patient care. Labour will end and reverse privatisation in the NHS in the next parliament. We will repeal the Health and Social Care Act and reinstate the responsibilities of the secretary of state to provide a comprehensive and universal healthcare system. We will end the requirement on health authorities to put services out to competitive tender. We will ensure services are delivered in-house and also bring subsidiary companies back in-house.

Labour’s manifesto pledge seems to go further than what John McDonell, the shadow chancellor, said on the BBC’s Andrew Marr show on 3 November. In that interview, McDonnell seemed to acknowledge that some NHS contracts with private firms may not have run out by the end of a five-year Labour government.

Some contracts last up to 10 years. McDonnell did not say whether a Jeremy Corbyn-led administration would try to force the termination of such contracts, which would be costly and legally fraught.

Updated

New polling from Ipsos Mori gives the Conservatives a comfortable 16-point lead over Labour. The research for the Evening Standard has the Conservatives on 44%, Labour on 28%, the Liberal Democrats on 16%, the Brexit party on 3% and the Greens on 3%.

Asked what issues were driving their decisions, 63% of voters mentioned Brexit, 41% the NHS and 21% education. Taxation and protecting the environment were each brought up by 11% of those surveyed, while the economy was cited by 9%.

Brexit was particularly important to Conservative and Liberal Democrat supporters (76% and 77% respectively), while only 45% of Labour supporters mentioned it.

Possibly most interestingly, those who said they’d vote Conservative were surer of their vote than those voting Labour. Seventy-one per cent of Tory supporters said they would definitely back the party, compared with 54% of Labour supporters. Just 40% of Liberal Democrats supporters said they were definitely decided.

Definitely decided which party to vote for?

All: 59%
Con: 71%
Lab: 54%
LD: 40%https://t.co/FUDaL7yJxW #ge2019 pic.twitter.com/UGXWLYeA8u

— Ipsos MORI (@IpsosMORI) November 21, 2019

Updated

IFS rejects Labour's claim 95% of taxpayers would not need to pay extra to fund its 'colossal' spending programme

Paul Johnson, the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the tax and spending thinktank, has told ITV News that he does not believe Labour’s claim 95% of taxpayers would not need to pay more under its spending plans. He said:

It is impossible to understate just how extraordinary this manifesto is just in terms of the sheer scale of money being spent and raised through the tax system: hundreds of billions of additional spending on investment, £80bn plus per year on spending on day to day things, social security, spending on the NHS, student loans and so on, and matched by supposedly an £80bn increase in tax.

These are vast numbers, enormous, colossal, in the context of anything we’ve seen in the last - ever, really.

Asked if it would be possible to spend this amount of money with tax increases just affecting businesses and the richest 5% of individuals, as Labour claims, Johnson replied:

The Labour manifesto suggests they want to raise £80bn of tax revenue, and they suggest that all of that will come from companies and people earning over £80,000 a year. That is simply not credible. We cannot raise that kind of money in our tax system without affecting individuals.

Obviously corporate tax affects individuals anyway. Someone has to pay that tax. But if you’re looking about transforming society, which the Labour party is absolutely up front about doing, then you need to pay for it. And it can’t be someone else who pays for it. We collectively will need to pay for it.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has told ITV News Labour's manifesto spending and taxation pledges are "colossal" and "not credible".

Read more: https://t.co/9IqX8DFX44 pic.twitter.com/6a8iJUyLWN

— ITV News (@itvnews) November 21, 2019

Labour manifesto: the first time either of big parties has prioritised environment

The layout of the manifesto says it all: plans for a “green industrial revolution” come first, with eye-catching pledges of a windfall tax on oil and gas, 1m new jobs and the nationalisation of energy, water and railways. This is the first time one of the UK’s two major parties has placed so much store on the environment, and Labour has carefully positioned its low-carbon plans as a support for industry, not a burden as the Conservatives have termed green measures for years.

In place of a firm deadline to reach net-zero carbon by 2030, which many activists pushed for, after union pressure the agreed commitment is to “achieve the substantial majority of our emissions reductions by 2030”. That should imply stronger and swifter action than the Tory net-zero carbon by 2050 pledge but allows a lot of room for interpretation. The manifesto does set a net-zero deadline of 2040 for the farming sector and 2030, 10 years ahead of the Tories, to phase out fossil-fuel vehicles.

Generating 90% of electricity renewably by 2030 is more than the 80% Lib Dem pledge, energy nationalisation will encompass supply as well as the grid, and companies failing to tackle emissions forfeit their stock exchange listing. Missing is any commitment to curb emissions from aviation, singled out as a growing problem by the Committee on Climate Change, with no frequent flyer levy and a hedge on airport expansion.

Updated

Boris Johnson claims Corbyn's Brexit policy means his manifesto has no credibility

Boris Johnson has delivered a clip for broadcasters about Labour’s manifesto.

Normally you would expect a Conservative leader, commenting on a Labour manifesto like this, to focus on the plans for higher taxes, and to make an argument about how these might turn out to be ruinous to the economy.

But Johnson did not say that at all. Instead he just claimed that Corbyn’s plans did not have any “economic credibility” because of the uncertainty about his Brexit policy.

None of it has any credibility whatever because the whole at the heart of Labour’s manifesto - this was the moment, it was ‘Lights, camera, action’, Corbyn comes centre stage, drumroll, and he completely misses his cue - because what we want to know is what is his plan to deliver to Brexit, and what’s the deal he wants to do, and which side would be vote on that deal, and we still don’t know. Until we have answers to those questions, until we get Brexit done, none of this carries any economic credibility whatever.

And I contrast our approach. We’ve got a deal, ready to go. Put it in the oven, it’s done, we’re through by January. We get on with our ambitions for the country.

Although Johnson is right to say Corbyn has not said whether he would campaign for remain or leave in a second referendum, the main thrust of his argument is not correct. There may be reasons why the manifesto plans lack economic credibility, but they are mostly not related to Labour’s Brexit policy, which would involve the UK deciding between remain and a soft Brexit next summer. This creates uncertainty. But there is also some uncertainty as to what sort of trade deal with the EU a Johnson government would negotiate, and whether or not there would be a no-deal Brexit at the end of the transition in December 2020.

The official CCHQ response to the Labour manifesto does have a line about how Labour’s plans would involve “a reckless spending spree which would take a sledgehammer to the British economy and cost every taxpayer £2,400 a year” (this figure is unfounded), but, interestingly, the Tory press notice also focuses mostly on Corbyn’s position on Brexit and on the threat of a second Scottish independence referendum.

It may be the case that the Tories are wary of attacking Labour over taxation and spending because they think the Labour plans are popular. Or it may just be that they think Brexit is their best attack line against Labour, and they want to use it at every opportunity.

Updated

At Holyrood, first minister’s questions did not touch directly on the election, but the session did go nuclear.

First, SNP MSP Jenny Gilruth gave Nicola Sturgeon the opportunity to answer the question posed to Jo Swinson in the ITV Leaders’ Interviews on Tuesday: would you use nuclear weapons?

While Swinson attracted much criticism for her short and direct “Yes”, Sturgeon gave a similarly direct “No”, describing nuclear weapons as “immoral, ineffective and a waste of money”.

She was later asked by Mark Ruskell of the Scottish Greens about the costly 15-year delay in decommissioning nuclear submarines at Rosyth dockyard in Fife. Ruskell wanted to know “what the Scottish government could do to free up the yard for low-carbon shipbuilding ... while removing those weapons from Jo Swinson’s reach”. After some laughter in the chamber, Sturgeon reiterated that she did not want Scotland to be home to WMD.

This is especially pertinent today given that Labour’s manifesto includes a commitment to Trident renewal (we’ll find out the Scottish Labour policy at their manifesto launch tomorrow, as it has diverged from the UK position in the past). And the SNP leadership has said previously that removing the weapons from Scotland could be a red line in any post-election negotiations (see my report yesterday for where we’ve got to on this between Labour and the SNP).

And talking of Labour’s manifesto, it is noteworthy that it has retained the rather vague guarantee not to agree to a section 30 order request for the powers to hold a second independence referendum “in the early years of a Labour government”. This gives them ample flexibility should the SNP win a pro-independence majority at the next Holyrood election in 2021.

Updated

Labour manifesto: inquiry into 'fake news' to be launched

Labour’s manifesto says it will consult on establishing an inquiry into “fake news”. As the Press Association reports, the party says that “fake news” has eroded trust in the media and democracy. It says:

We will consult media-sector workers and trade unions to establish an inquiry into the ‘fake news’ undermining trust in media, democracy and public debate, and on a legal right of public interest defence for journalists.

Updated

And here is my colleague Heather Stewart’s story about the manifesto launch.

Here is my colleague Rowena Mason’s guide to what’s in Labour’s manifesto.

Labour manifesto: campaigners welcome plan to give EU nationals automatic right to stay after Brexit

Campaigners for EU citizens say they are “very happy” with Labour’s manifesto proposals which will ensure they are “lawful” in the UK post-Brexit.

Under Labour’s proposals the government would move to a “declaratory” system for EU citizens who would merely have to “declare” they were in the country through whatever scheme Labour laid out. It could mean registering at a town hall, a local council or through the exiting Home Office settled status programme.

The manifesto says:

We will end the uncertainty created by the EU settlement scheme by granting EU nationals the automatic right to continue living and working in the UK. This new declaratory system will allow EU nationals the chance to register for proof of status if they wish, but will mean they no longer have to apply to continue living and working in this country.

“This is a really big step and we are delighted the main opposition party is on the side of EU citizens,” said the3million co-founder Nicolas Hatton.

Labour is also planning to scrap the hostile environment. That means foreign migrants – who will include, after Brexit, EU citizens – will no longer have the shock of their driving licence being cancelled, bank accounts closed or benefits stopped due to a Home Office official’s decision, says Hatton.

Updated

Corbyn's speech and Q&A at Labour manifesto launch - Summary and analysis

One of the peculiarities of a British general election is that a party can win the campaign (in the sense of delivering a more coherent and professional message) but still lose quite badly on polling day. Many analysts would say that is what happened to Labour in 1987 and in 2017. Arguably it also happened to Labour in 1992 and to the Conservatives in 2005. And it is possible that the same thing might happen again.

Up to now Labour has had a good campaign. As Alex Wickham reports in a recent BuzzFeed feature on jitters in the Conservative camp, Labour “won the media narrative almost every day” in the first two weeks of the campaign. It has been announcing detailed policy, and holding press conferences. The Conservative campaign is wholly dependent on Boris Johnson who is running mostly on negative claims about Labour and on a pledge to get Brexit done whose credibility is open to question. But the Tories are still leading comfortably in the polls.

Corbyn in full campaign mode is a much more impressive figure than he was when elected party leader four years ago and at the manifesto launch this morning he put on a confident performance. In the election two years ago the publication of the manifestos marked the moment when support for the Tories started to sink, and Labour’s ratings started to go up. We don’t know yet whether the same thing will happen this time around (the Tory manifesto is due out in the next few days), but Corbyn certainly had a distinctive pitch this morning.

Here are the main points from his speech and Q&A.

  • Corbyn urged people to judge the value of Labour’s “manifesto for hope” by the fact that it is getting so much opposition from “the bankers, the billionaires and the establishment”. (See 9.06am.)
  • He claimed that the super-rich and “bad bosses” now effectively owned the Conservative party. (See 11.23am.)
  • He said Labour’s plan would unleash investment “on a scale you have never known”. (See 11.39am.)
  • He insisted he was a patriot. Asked in the Q&A how he would respond to people who do not seem him as patriotic, he replied:

Yes, I do support this country. I am patriotic about this country. I’m patriotic about all people in this country. That means patriotism is about caring for the entire society.

Patriotism is about supporting each other, not attacking somebody else.

  • He claimed that Boris Johnson’s spending claims were bogus. When it was put to him that, unlike in 2017, at this election the Tories were also promising big spending increases, he replied:

The offers made by the Conservatives on spending ever since Boris Johnson became prime minister are sometimes, how shall I put it? I’m trying to be generous here ... inaccurately sourced?

As an example, Corbyn cited Johnson’s claim that he has announced plans for 40 new hospitals. In reality, he has only confirmed plans to upgrade six hospitals. The other 34 projects are long-term aspirational ones for which very little money has been set aside.

  • He said there were no plans in the Labour manifesto that were incompatible with EU state aid rules.

Updated

Labour manifesto: no radical proposals on free movement

The document is fairly light on migration policy – dedicating only two out of 107 pages to the issue.

Most notable is the absence of anything remotely radical on freedom of movement, which is mentioned only twice.

The party has said free movement will be “subject to negotiations” if the UK leaves the European of Union – but nothing more.

This will disappoint the likes of the Labour Campaign for Free Movement, who put forward a popular motion at the party’s recent conference to maintain and extend free movement. However, it will satisfy the likes of the influential union leader Len McCluskey, who called for a cautious stance.

The manifesto firmly puts to bed the highly spurious claims disseminated by the Conservative party last week that as prime minister Jeremy Corbyn would oversee an open borders policy that would push net migration as high as 840,000 people a year.

Updated

Labour manifesto: review of colonial legacy is flagship foreign policy pledge

A review of the impact of Britain’s colonial legacy around the world is the flagship pledge in the 13-page section of the manifesto devoted to foreign policy, aid and defence. The party wants “to understand our contribution to the dynamics of violence and insecurity across regions previously under British colonial rule” - a commitment designed to inform foreign policy thinking under a Labour government.

A Jeremy Corbyn-led government would also end the “bomb first, talk later” approach to global security, and implement a War Powers Act to end the theoretical discretion that the prime minister has to launch military action without parliamentary approval.

The party also promises to “establish a judge-led inquiry into our country’s alleged complicity in rendition and torture” in connection with the Iraq and Afghanistan conflicts – a commitment quietly abandoned by the Tories in the summer.

An existing pledge to renew Trident is reiterated from 2017 – although there has been speculation that the SNP wants Labour to scrap the nuclear deterrent as the price for a post-election coalition. Labour would also “actively lead” global efforts for multilateral nuclear disarmament.

The party will also continue to spend 2% of GDP on the armed forces, end the public sector pay cap for military personnel, and “maintain our commitment to Nato”.

Updated

Labour manifesto: ATM charges to be banned

Labour is pledging in the manifesto to ban ATM charges, presumably to increase access to cash across the country.

But a fee ban doesn’t address the underlying issue. Most high street ATMs are run by private, third-party companies that are focused on the bottom line and profit margins rather than public access. Put simply, if they don’t make enough money, those ATMs start disappearing altogether.

Natalie Ceeney, the author of the Access to Cash Review, has warned that Britain’s cash infrastructure network is “very, very fragile,” and that taking out another brick from the teetering Jenga tower – like rural ATMs – could bring us one step closer to its collapse.

ATM companies such as NoteMachine and Cardtronics make money by charging banks a fee every time customers take out cash, but consumers are taking out less money at ATMs and opting for contactless payments for small purchases instead. Banks have also negotiated cuts to their fees in recent years.

So if ATM operators feel they aren’t making enough money from one of their cash machines, they’ll start charging customers a withdrawal fee to make up the difference. If that fails to bring in enough cash, operators may remove cash machine altogether, creating ATM “deserts”.

There is a risk a ban on fees could just speed up the whole process.

But Labour’s ATM policy should be considered alongside others including plans to stop bank branch closures, and create a Post Bank within the Post Office Network that would be likely to maintain access to cash in rural communities, even if those private ATM operators decide to pack up and leave.

Updated

Labour manifesto: big six energy companies to have their supply divisions nationalised

The Labour party will push ahead with plans to nationalise the energy supply arms of the Big Six energy companies. The party’s election manifesto said the Big Six - including British Gas, SSE, E.ON UK, EDF Energy, Scottish Power and Npower - would continue to supply gas and electricity to millions of homes while helping customers to reduce their energy use.

The plan to nationalise the Big Six won the approval of Labour members at the party’s conference earlier this year, but many in the energy industry did not expect the pledge to be included in the manifesto.

It builds on plans to nationalise other utilities including regional energy networks – which run the UK’s power lines and gas pipes – as well as water companies and part of the telecoms giant BT.

Updated

Labour manifesto: second Brexit referendum would be 'legally binding'

If elected Labour “will rip up the deeply flawed deal negotiated by Boris Johnson” and will strike a new deal within three months, the manifesto says.

It promises to guard against further deregulation in manufacturing that would leave the UK “at the mercy of a trade deal with Donald Trump”.

The deal will involve: a “comprehensive” UK-wide customs arrangement with the EU; “close alignment with the single market”, and “dynamic alignment on workers’ rights and the environment which guarantees keeping pace with any future EU protections “as a minimum”.

Labour will also negotiate “legal protection” for citizens’ rights introducing a new “declaratory system” whereby EU citizens no longer have to “apply” to stay, but merely register for proof of status.

Under Labour, the UK will also: continue to participate in the EU funding programmes on science and environment; scrap Operation Yellowhammer contingency planning and the current Brexit legislation, and hold a referendum “within the first six months of a Labour government” (not within six months of a new deal).

The referendum will not be advisory but “legally binding”. Legally the 2016 one was only advisory, but the government had given a political commitment to be bound by it.

The Welsh Labour government will campaign to remain.

Updated

Labour manifesto: councils to have powers to take bus services back under local control

On transport, Labour pledges to give all councils powers and resources to take bus services back under local control. Under 25s would get free bus travel.

Along with its commitment to renationalising rail, Labour would put a guard on every train – a move seen as crucial to ensure accessible, safe travel for all, and which also end the current industrial disputes. The cost of £100m a year would come from road taxes that Conservatives have hypothecated for roadbuilding, Labour has said.

It would deliver “Crossrail for the North”, another (less George Osborne-inspired) name for northern powerhouse rail, build HS2 to Scotland, and restore axed electrification.

It will “aim for 2030” rather than the government’s 2040 target to end the sale of petrol and diesel cars, and increase funding for cycling and walking. Labour also promises a shot across the bows of the likes of Uber with a pledge to reform taxi rules to ensure a “level playing field”.

Updated

Corbyn is now responding to questions from students at the venue, Birmingham City University.

He says young workers will benefit from the living wage.

They will also have full rights at work from day one of their employment. And they will have the right to trade union representation from the start, he says.

He says, as part of ending universal credit, Labour will end the two-child policy and the so-called rape clause.

He says the education system is too competitive. There are too many pupils being excluded. Exclusion affects their achievements later in life. Labour will get schools to support each other, so teachers should face less stress.

He says the Tories introduced what they called a fair funding formula. But it was the very opposite; it took funds away from many schools, he says.

He says headteachers should not have to beg for money from parents. This might work in wealthy areas. But in areas where parents are on the minimum wage, the schools do not get top-up funding, and their pupils lose out.

He says Labour will have a ringfenced pupil arts premium so every pupil can learn a musical instrument.

He ends by saying how proud he is of the manifesto.

And that’s it. The launch is over.

As the day goes on, we will be looking at the manifesto in detail – here, and elsewhere on the website.

And I will post a summary of the main points from the launch shortly.

Updated

Q: Some voters do not see you as patriotic. Is that fair?

Corbyn replies:

Yes, I do support this country. I am patriotic about this country.

He says patriotism is about caring for the whole of society – not walking by on the other side, and ignoring the homeless.

He says members of the armed forces working on disaster relief have told him how proud they are of the work they do.

He says patriotism should be about supporting each other, not attacking people.

And he loves this country’s literature, he says. When he travels, he goes on about the history of different places. He jokes that those travelling with him may find this hard to put up with.

Q: Do you think Prince Andrew should cooperate with the lawyers for the victims of Jeffrey Epstein? And do you think there needs to be a wider review of the royal family.

Corbyn says the interests of Epstein’s victims should come first. He says no one should be above the law.

Q: Now the Tories are also promising high levels of investment. Why should voters trust you to deliver?

Corbyn says some of Boris Johnson’s claims about his spending plans are - Corbyn says he is trying to be generous - inaccurately sourced. For example, Johnson said he would create 40 new hospitals, when it turned out to be only six projects.

And the proposals in other areas, such as police funding, do not match the cuts enacted by the Tories since 2010.

He says his proposals are bold.

The costings document (see 11.56am) goes into a great deal of detail, he says.

He asks what the country will be like if it carries in the way things are going now.

The Tories are just offering “same old, same old” and “more and more inequality”.

There is also a question about whether Corbyn would cooperate with the Tories on a cross-party solution to social care, but Corbyn ignores this. Long-Bailey is taking questions three at a time, and some journalists are asking two questions at the same time, and so that one got overlooked.

Updated

Q: A lot of your manifesto is reminiscent of the 1970s. The 1970s gets a bad press. How do you remember it - as a good time or a bad time?

Corbyn says the businesses he wants to nationalise are natural monopolies. He says the way postal workers are being treated is terrible. If you stop to talk to them, they do not have time to stop because they are being monitored. They would be treated better if the Royal Mail were in public ownership, he suggests.

He says water deserves to be nationalised. The private companies are not providing a good service. We waste enough water to fill Loch Ness with leaks.

He says the public ownership model will be one with consumer involvement. He is not going for a top-down nationalisation model. It will be more community-orientated and more consumer-orientated.

He says British Rail was under-resourced. Private rail companies are now getting more in public subsidy than British Rail ever got.

Q: What do you say to claims you are good at spending money, but that you do not understand how to raise money?

Corbyn says he spends a lot of time talking to groups such as the CBI, and to small business owners. He is absolutely on their side. Often these are the most innovative people, he says.

He says they say they want broadband, buses, trains and good quality roads.

So the Labour broadband offer will create opportunities all over the country.

Q: Many windfarms are being made abroad. So will your green plans benefit workers in Scotland?

Corbyn says up to 5% of the UK’s electricity needs could be met by windfarms off the Scottish coast. Those wind turbines could be built in Scotland. But Scotland needs an industrial strategy.

He says workers in Scotland are annoyed these are being manufactured abroad. He wants those turbines to be built here.

He says he will invest £100m in Scotland.

Q: The Scottish Labour party does not want a second independence referendum. So is this a manifesto that excludes them?

Corbyn says he is fighting the election to win as Labour. He is not fighting to go into coalition with anyone.

Updated

Q: Why do you think the public will back this manifesto when voters weren’t won over by the 2017 one?

Corbyn says this is a radical manifesto. But radical answers are what is necessary. When you have a mental health crisis, working people in poverty, overcrowded schools, unqualified teachers and people unable to buy their own home, you realise what is needed.

And when you live in a community that once had a proud industrial basis to it, a steelworks or coalmine, and you walk down the high street and see empty shops, you recognise the scale of need.

He says he is very proud of the fact it is a radical manifesto.

The levels of poverty are horrific. And poverty is such a waste of the abilities of people.

Corbyn says children cannot achieve properly at school if they are growing up in poverty.

He says Labour did not win the last election. He knows that every day, because he sees that in his advice surgery, and he sees problems getting worse. That is why he is determined to get his message across.

Q: In the TV debate you were laughed at when you would not say how you would vote in the second Brexit referendum. Is your policy credible, and how would you vote?

Q: Some of your plans would fall foul of EU rules on state aid. So could Labour really campaign for remain?

Taking both questions together, Corbyn says people voted to leave the EU in 2016.

People have spent a lot of time discussing Brexit, and the shadow cabinet has too.

He has sought to understand why people voted leave. There are people facing the same problems, some of whom voted remain and some of whom voted leave.

He sets out Labour’s policy: a renegotiation followed by a referendum.

He says it is responsible to try to bring people together.

He does not accept that the UK must remain divided. He wants to give people the final say, and then carry out the result of that vote.

Regarding EU state aid rules, he says Labour has looked at this carefully. He says all his policies are possible under EU state aid rules.

Updated

And here is Labour’s 44-page document (pdf) with its manifesto costings.

Rebecca Long-Bailey asks Labour supporters in the audience to let journalists ask their questions without interruption.

She calls the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg.

Some in the audience start booing.

Jeremy Corbyn protests. “We don’t do that,” he says.

Corbyn's Q&A

Before the Q&A Corbyn says this is the 45th anniversary of the Birmingham pub bombings. He says that should be a reminder that peace in Northern Ireland is priceless.

Here is Corbyn’s peroration.

Ignore the wealthy and powerful who tell you that’s not possible.

The future is ours to make, together.

As the writer Pablo Neruda wrote so beautifully: “You can cut all the flowers but you cannot keep Spring from coming.”

Vote for this manifesto of hope.

It’s time for real change.

Stacks of improvements for workers in Labour's manifesto. pic.twitter.com/ar1XMg2sPK

— Kate Proctor (@Kate_M_Proctor) November 21, 2019

From the Times’ Henry Zeffman

Labour pledge to repeal the fixed-term parliaments act. Probably means there's a majority for that whoever wins the election

— Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) November 21, 2019

The Conservatives are expected to propose repealing the Fixed-term Parliaments Act in their manifesto too.

Here is my colleague Heather Stewart’s first-take story on the Labour manifesto.

And this is how it starts.

A Labour government would put an £11bn windfall tax on oil and gas companies to create a “just transition fund” and help shift the UK towards a green economy without creating mass job losses, Jeremy Corbyn has said.

The one-off tax would be calculated according to an assessment of each firm’s past contribution to the climate crisis, Labour said – and could be paid over years.

The total is 10 times the £1.1bn that the Treasury expects to raise from the oil and gas sector this year.

Corbyn confirms that Labour would scrap tuition fees, and universal credit.

If you’re a patient or a nurse, Labour is on your side. We’ll rescue our NHS, make dental check-ups free, recruit thousands of nurses and doctors and bring down waiting lists.

If you’re a student, Labour is on your side. We’ll create a national education service, make lifelong education a right, value technical education as highly as academic learning and we’ll bring back maintenance grants and, yes, scrap university tuition fees.

If you’re reaching old age, Labour is on your side. We’ll protect pensions and provide free personal care. If you’re living with a disability, Labour is on your side. We’ll update the Equality Act and scrap universal credit.

If you’re a tenant, Labour is on your side. We’ll launch the biggest council housebuilding programme since the 1960s and cap rents. If you’re a new parent, Labour is on your side. We’ll guarantee 30 hours of free childcare for all two- to four-year olds.

Updated

Labour not pledging to write off existing student debts

— norman smith (@BBCNormanS) November 21, 2019

Corbyn promises investment 'on a scale you have never known'

Corbyn promises investment “on a scale you have never known”.

It’s time to bring a divided country together so we can get on with delivering the real change Britain needs.

To drive that change we will unleash a record investment blitz, getting the economy moving in every corner of our country.

This is about the jobs at the end of your road.

It’s about breathing new life into your area. Reviving your high street.

Our investment blitz will upgrade our national infrastructure in every region and nation, and rebuild our schools, hospitals, care homes and housing.

Investment on a scale you have never known in every town, city and region.

And we’ll boost the devolved budgets, allowing the Welsh Labour government to build on its success with huge new projects like the Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon, and putting an extra £100 billion into Scotland to boost the Scottish economy, secure the future of industry and properly fund our public services.

Labour will transform our economy so that no one is held back, and no community is neglected.

From ITV Cymru Wales’ Adrian Masters

The Labour manifesto recognises Welsh Labour's different position on a second brexit referendum: 'Only Labour
will put this decision back in the hands of the people, and in Wales the Welsh Labour government will campaign to remain.'

— Adrian Masters (@adrianmasters84) November 21, 2019

From my colleague Heather Stewart

Rapturous response here for JC when warns Johnson is preparing to open up the NHS for privatisation. “Not for sale! Not for sale!” they chant, even before he has said the words himself. pic.twitter.com/AOkkycEaxv

— Heather Stewart (@GuardianHeather) November 21, 2019

More from the manifesto.

Jeremy Corbyn says there will be NO increases in income tax, VAT or national insurance for 95% of the population.

— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) November 21, 2019

Corbyn launching manifesto now - some key bits:
* windfall tax on oil companies
* “Aim to achieve substantial majority” of carbon emissions reductions by 2030 (not net zero target)
* Councils able to take public ownership of bus networks and offer free bus travel to u-25s pic.twitter.com/Y2nyDzGZMB

— Tom Rayner (@RaynerSkyNews) November 21, 2019

Labour assume they'll raise almost £83bn in extra tax revenue by 2023/4

— Ross Hawkins (@rosschawkins) November 21, 2019

As predicted by shadow cabinet sources even before motion passed at Labour conference, manifesto policy on private schools also relatively mild: pic.twitter.com/KVge7RQVQh

— Patrick Maguire (@patrickkmaguire) November 21, 2019

In their costings document Labour have quietly increased their estimate of how much British Broadband will cost to run. Now £579m a year in cash terms. They were previously saying £230m but they now admit that was an NPV value (so a bit meaningless for the pub finances) pic.twitter.com/9NMQ7doDQJ

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) November 21, 2019

Labour manifesto on #indyref2 pic.twitter.com/KMabAKsxE6

— Nick Eardley (@nickeardleybbc) November 21, 2019

Labour also promises to scrap the married person's tax allowance, raising half a billion pounds. Tory source points out that will mean income tax rise (of £250) for a number of people who earn less than £80k, contra Corbyn's repeated promise.

— Hugo Gye (@HugoGye) November 21, 2019

Students at Birmingham City University cramming the balconies as Corbyn launches his 2019 manifesto pic.twitter.com/fgITR9l6g5

— Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) November 21, 2019

Full text of Labour's manifesto published

Here is the full text of the manifesto (pdf). It runs to 107 pages.

Corbyn says people’s votes can be “more powerful than all the wealth in the world”.

(That claim might struggle to get past the factcheckers, I’m afraid.)

He is now urging people to vote.

More from the manifesto.

Labour planning £82 bilion extra on day to day spending. Budgeted for by additional taxes on wealthy, business and the City

— norman smith (@BBCNormanS) November 21, 2019

Labour's manifesto position on freedom of movement: pic.twitter.com/uhNlsHeUEX

— Ross Hawkins (@rosschawkins) November 21, 2019

Jeremy Corbyn's £82.9bn in tax rises:

* 50p rate & new tax on super rich - £5.4bn

* Reverse corporation tax cuts - £23.7bn

* Extending FTT - £8.8nm

* Tax on capital gains and dividends - £14bn

* Reverse inheritance tax cuts, VAT on private schools, second homes tax - £5.2bn

— Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) November 21, 2019

Eye-catching announcements include:
🌹 windfall tax on oil companies
🌹 free personal care for the elderly
🌹corporation tax to go back to 26%
🌹class sizes restricted to max 30
🌹EU free movement if Remain

— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) November 21, 2019

Super-rich and bad bosses 'own the Conservative party', claims Corbyn

Jeremy Corbyn is delivering his speech now. He says billionaires effectively own the Conservative party, but they don’t own Labour.

A third of Britain’s billionaires have donated to the Conservative party. The billionaires and the super-rich, the tax dodgers, the bad bosses and the big polluters - they own the Conservative party.

But they don’t own us. They don’t own the Labour party. The people own the Labour party. That’s why the billionaires attack us. That’s why the billionaire-owned media makes things up about us.

Corbyn is now using the passage quoted earlier. (See 9.06am.)

Updated

From the BBC’s Norman Smith

Labour tax proposals include; financial transaction tax, excessive pay levy, 2nd homes tax, reverse inheritance tax cuts and VAT on private school fees

— norman smith (@BBCNormanS) November 21, 2019

Labour scrap planned rise in pension age beyond 66 and review retirement age of those in hard manual jobs

— norman smith (@BBCNormanS) November 21, 2019

Updated

Manifesto: “our most valuable assets are the dedicated people who work in our pub services. But under this govt their pay has been cut in real terms. Lab will restore pub sec pay to at least pre-financial crisis levels...w a 5% increase to tears & retain the people who do so much

— Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) November 21, 2019

Labour proposes 5% pay rise for public sector workers

The manifesto does not seem to be online quite yet, but journalists at the launch have copies, and they have started tweeting out details.

These are from Sky’s Beth Rigby.

Labour manifesto. *BIG NEW POLICY*
Public sector pay rises: 5% for ALL public sector workers from April 2020.
(Cost £5.3bn) pic.twitter.com/DrwlHMc35s

— Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) November 21, 2019

Labour:
Av public sector worker will get a pay rise of £1,643
Newly qualified teacher will get a pay rise of £1,219
Newly qualified nurse will get a pay rise of £1,211
Starting junior doctor will get a pay rise of £1,384
Police constable will get an average pay rise of £1,958

— Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) November 21, 2019

Jeremy Corbyn is speaking now.

He says this is a manifesto for hope.

Long-Bailey says Jeremy Corbyn is someone who has a track record of standing up for his principles.

And he has already transformed politics - even before getting into Downing Street.

She introduces him as “our next prime minster”.

Labour launches its manifesto

Rebecca Long-Bailey, the shadow business secretary, is speaking at the launch now.

She says the document will be radical and transformational.

Here is the Birmingham Post and Mail’s Jonathan Walker on what the Labour manifesto actually says about the target for reaching net zero carbon emissions. As expected, the manifesto does not include the firm 2030 target date set out in a motion passed at conference.

Seems Labour has indeed abandoned pledge of net carbon emissions by 2030. Manifesto instead says country will be "on track for a net zero carbon energy system within the 2030s"

— Jonathan Walker (@jonwalker121) November 21, 2019

According to Dawn Butler, the shadow minister for women and equalities, it’s chilly at the Labour manifesto launch in Birmingham.

It feels like Iceland - but it's Birmingham! I'm freezing cold but can't wait for @UKLabour manifesto to warm us all up! Looking forward to hearing from @jeremycorbyn about our radical policies to deliver real change for this country. #RealChange #GeneralElection2019 pic.twitter.com/wQYqp57RZE

— (((Dawn Butler))) (@DawnButlerBrent) November 21, 2019

These are from Sky’s economics editor Ed Conway, who says the Conservative housing plan announcement overnight (see 9.48am) contains a misleading promise.

Slightly odd new policy proposal from the Tories. They want to "create a nw market" for long term fixed rate mortgages. Nice idea but the most obvious way of achieving this is to create a mortgage guarantee vehicle like Fannie Mae in the US. That ended, well, badly, for them... pic.twitter.com/vEOEV2oQyY

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) November 21, 2019

How will Tories actually achieve lifetime fixed rate mortgages? From detail in release it's a bit unclear. They'll "bring in institutional investors" & "support homeowners by offering secure and stable mortgages". Odd. Is it the investors or the government doing the "offering"? pic.twitter.com/9zcp5EMSZH

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) November 21, 2019

The answer acc to CCHQ is not them. "No direct role for govt in this... we'll bring people together in an effort to create this market". Right. So it's not a promise, it's an aspiration. An aspiration which looks v difficult indeed to fulfil. So not at all how it's being marketed

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) November 21, 2019

The UK’s GDP growth rate will slip to 1% next year even if a no-deal Brexit is avoided, according to the Organisation for Economic Development and Cooperation. My colleague Phillip Inman has the full story here.

Proposed Tory tax cut would benefit middle and high-income families most, says IFS

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has released a briefing on the Conservative plan to offer a tax cut by raising the national insurance threshold.

It says raising the threshold to £9,500, which Boris Johnson is promising to do in the first budget after the election, would take 0.6m people out of paying national insurance contributions. Employees still paying NICs would save £85 year.

The IFS also says that 16m households “would gain by £150 a year on average, since many households have more than one earner.”

But “most of the benefits [from the policy] would go to middle and high-income households”, the IFS says.

This is from Xiaowei Xu, a research economist at the IFS.

Successive governments have fixated on income tax at the expense of NICs, for example by raising the personal allowance while doing nothing to NICs thresholds. The attention to NICs is therefore both welcome and overdue. That said, if the intention is to help the lowest-paid, raising the NICs threshold is an extremely blunt instrument.

Only 3% of the total gains from raising NICs thresholds accrues to the poorest fifth of all households – and only 8% to the poorest fifth of working households. The government could target low-earning families much more effectively by raising in-work benefits, which would deliver far higher benefits to the lowest-paid for a fraction of the cost to government – but at the expense of expanding means-testing.

Updated

Jeremy Corbyn and his shadow cabinet have arrived for the launch of the Labour manifesto in Birmingham.

These are from Sky’s Sam Coates, setting out exactly what Boris Johnson said about the proposed Tory tax cut yesterday and how CCHQ’s own briefing points out that what he said was wrong. Earlier Sajid Javid, the chancellor, dodged the question when asked whether Johnson should apologise for misleading voters. (See 8.48am.)

Left: what Boris Johnson said yesterday - that the NI threshold £9,500 pledge would give “£500 into the pockets of everybody”

Right: CCHQ making clear PM was wrong and that level of benefit only available once NI threshold rises to £12,500; currently an aspiration not a promise pic.twitter.com/KXrfwHC4dW

— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) November 21, 2019

Updated

These are from Faisal Islam, the BBC’s economics editor, on the Labour manifesto.

Told that the measures in the Labour manifesto are Remain compliant, indeed consistent with either result of a new referendum. There were some doubts expressed in civil service about 2017 manifesto compatibility with EEA & EU, esp mail renationalisation...

— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) November 21, 2019

some areas though where there it is a matter of legal judgement. Eg my thread yesterday on the foie gras ban. It is reasonable assume that it would be easier in Brexit situation, would be challenged if we were still in EU, but many legal experts saw as doable under Article 36

— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) November 21, 2019

Ie I’d expect to see some policies that more assertively test boundaries of what is possible under EU law, something Labour leadership thinks previous Governments did not do...blog coming.

Public finances baseline matters too. Eg Lab could surely not assume Libdem “remain bonus”

— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) November 21, 2019

UK public borrowing hits five-year October high

UK public sector net borrowing surged to £11.2bn in October, the highest borrowing recorded in October in five years, my colleague Julia Kollewe reports. She has more on her business live blog.

Updated

Tories announce plans for housing

To coincide with the publication of Labour’s election manifesto, the Conservatives are announcing their own plans in relation to housing. Generally these are initiatives that are already in the pipeline, but, for the record, here is a summary of what they are proposing:

  • An extra 1m homes to be built over the next five years. The Tories say this can be achieved just by matching what has happened since 2014. They cite government figures saying 241,000 net additional homes were delivered in 2018-19.
  • Help to allow renters to buy. The Tories say they would take steps to give buyers more access to long-term, fixed-rate mortgages, and to make it easier for buyers to get mortgages with just a 5% deposit. Quite how this will happen is not specified, because the press notice just said the Tories would work with lenders to make these loans more available.
  • Discounts for local first-time buyers. The Tories say they would increase the number of properties available under the first home programme, which enables local first-time buyers to get discounts of 30%. By the mid 2020s this discount could apply to up to 19,000 homes, the Tories say.
  • Lifetime rental deposits. The Tories say they would provide a government guarantee for lifetime rental deposits, allowing renters to move their deposit easily from on property to another.

Updated

Google will no longer allow political advertisers to target voters based on their political affiliation, the company has announced, in a move that will increase pressure on Facebook to limit micro-targeting. My colleague Julia Carrie Wong has the full story here.

Corbyn urges people to judge Labour's 'manifesto of hope' by how much 'rich and powerful' oppose it

In his speech at the launch of the Labour manifesto this morning, which is due at 11am, Jeremy Corbyn will describe it as a “manifesto of hope”. But he will concentrate much of his speech on those who won’t be supporting his party’s programme, “the rich and the powerful”, arguing that the strength of their opposition to him shows how serious he is about change.

It is a clever attempt to leverage the extreme criticism he is facing (which is probably as intense as anything directed at any Labour leader in modern times) to his own advantage.

Here is an extract from the speech released overnight by the party. Corbyn will say:

This is a manifesto of hope. A manifesto that will bring real change. A manifesto full of popular policies that the political establishment has blocked for a generation. Those policies are fully costed, with no tax increases for 95% of taxpayers.

Over the next three weeks, the most powerful people in Britain and their supporters are going to tell you that everything in this manifesto is impossible. That it’s too much for you. Because they don’t want real change. Why would they? The system is working just fine for them. It’s rigged in their favour.

But it’s not working for you. If your wages never seem to go up and your bills never seem to go down, if your public services only seem to get worse, despite the heroic efforts of those who work in them, then it’s not working for you ...

The US president who led his country out of the Great Depression, President Franklin Roosevelt, had to take on the rich and powerful in America to do it. That’s why he said: “They are unanimous in their hate for me, and I welcome their hatred.”

He knew that when you’re serious about real change, those who profit from a rigged system, who squirrel away the wealth created by millions of people, won’t give up without a fight.

So I accept the implacable opposition and hostility of the rich and powerful is inevitable.

I accept the opposition of the billionaires because we will make those at the top pay their fair share of tax to help fund world-class public services for you. That’s real change.

I accept the hostility of the bad bosses paying poverty pay because we will give Britain a pay rise, starting with a real living wage of at least £10 an hour, including for young workers. That’s real change.

I accept the implacable opposition of the dodgy landlords because we’ll build a million homes, empower tenants and control rents. That’s real change.

I accept the hostility of the big polluters because we will make sure they pay their fair share of the costs of their destruction, create huge numbers of climate jobs and build the healthy, green economy of the future. That’s real change.

I accept the fierce opposition of the giant healthcare corporations because we will stop them sucking out profits from our NHS. That’s real change.

I accept the hostility of the privatised utilities companies because we will stop their great rip-off by bringing rail, mail, water and energy into public ownership and running them for the people. That’s real change.

And here’s a brand new one: I accept the implacable opposition of the private internet providers because we’re going to give you the very fastest full fibre broadband for free. That’s real change.

Updated

Good morning. I’m Andrew Sparrow, taking over from Mattha Busby.

Sajid Javid, the chancellor, has just been on the Today programme now. As when he was on BBC Breakfast earlier (see 7.32am), he was asked about Boris Johnson’s claim yesterday that his proposed tax cut (an increase in the national insurance threshold) would make people £500 a year better off. Mishal Husain, the presenter, put it to Javid that Johnson was misleading people, because people will only save £500 a year when the threshold reaches £12,500, and that is only a long-term aspiration. The saving from the specific pledge announced by the Tories, raising the threshold to £9,500, is only about £100. Husain asked Javid whether Johnson would apologise for saying something that was untrue. She did not get an answer from the chancellor, who sidestepped this specific accusation and focused on defending his boss.

Updated

It emerged last night that a reporter from the Mirror was not allowed to board the Conservative’s election bus yesterday despite having initially been offered access, according to the paper.

Senior Tory aides told the Mirror as early as last week they could have access to the trip - the Tory leader’s first with the bus - but pulled the offer at the last minute.

Our reporter was then blocked from boarding the red, white and blue emblazoned campaign coach when she arrived in Manchester city centre, where it set off just before 8am. As the bus headed for crucial electoral battlegrounds in the north east with Mr Johnson, our correspondent was forced to wave goodbye.

The Tories had blamed the Mirror’s critical coverage of the Prime Minister in recent weeks.

The paper’s political correspondent Mikey Smith notes that a number of former Tory leaders have provided access to their battle bus to the Mirror during general election campaigns. Its worth noting that the Mirror has long supported the Labour party.

Tories have banned the @DailyMirror from their election bus and it’s a bad day for anyone who believes our politicians should hold themselves up to scrutiny. https://t.co/v1wuk11XdO

— Alison Phillips (@MirrorAlison) November 20, 2019

Worth noting that the following Tory leaders have not blocked the Mirror from their battle buses:

• Theresa May
• David Cameron
• William Hague
• John Major
• Theresa Mayhttps://t.co/IagM0370fW

— Mikey Smith (@mikeysmith) November 20, 2019

Back in May 2017, ahead of the election in the next month, the Mirror had asked the then prime minister why she was “such a chicken”. But access to the Tory battle bus was seemingly unaffected.

Updated

The Liberal Democrat Brexit spokesman, Tom Brake, refused to be drawn over suggestions that the party’s narrative has shifted since the election campaign begun, when the leader, Jo Swinson, claimed she would be the next prime minister.

Instead, he said spreading the message of the Liberal Democrat’s manifesto would “greatly enhance” her chance of becoming the next PM.

He had been asked three times why Swinson no longer believed she could be prime minister.

We are fighting very hard, particularly in Conservative seats, to take seats from Boris Johnson’s Conservatives, we know we’re best placed to do that. There’s no evidence Labour can. That is what we are doing and I’m convinced what we are setting out in our manifesto, setting our proposals to fund the health service properly, tackling climate change, investing in childcare, much of it paid through the £50bn remain dividend over a five-year period. When people hear that, her prospects of becoming prime minister are greatly enhanced.

Questioned on whether the Liberal Democrats would go into coalition with either Labour or the Tories, Brake said: “We have made it absolutely clear that in no circumstances whatsoever are the Liberal Democrats going to prop up either a Boris Johnson government or a Jeremy Corbyn government.”

Worth harking back to John Crace’s sketch yesterday on how Swinson used to insist she was going to be the next prime minister.

Updated

How Jeremy Corbyn would vote in a second referendum on Brexit “doesn’t matter”, according to Angela Rayner.

She had been asked what side of the debate her party leader would be on in a future vote – as Labour eventually pledged.

Jeremy stands on the side of the people. We’ve had three years of the Conservatives propped up with the DUP who have failed to get a deal on Europe. We’ve said that we will get a deal that will put jobs, the economy, consumers, the environment, and employment protections first, within six months of a Labour government.

We’ll put that back to the people in a vote. For that deal or Remain. Then we’ll do the investment in Britain that we need. That’s the important thing, that people understand that we’re respecting that they have the final say. It doesn’t matter how Jeremy Corbyn votes, it matters what he’s going to do for the people of this country.

Updated

'It's about building communities again', declares Rayner

Ahead of the party’s manifesto launch later today shadow education secretary Angela Rayner told the programme that Labour’s plans to build 100,000 council homes a year would help “struggling” families.

She said that far too many people were paying huge amounts of money to privately let former council homes, with families dependent on council contributions due to the exorbitant rents.

“We need to make sure we have the council housing stock we need for the people and families who are struggling at the moment to meet housing demands,” she said, adding that homes would primarily be built on brownfield, public sector land while protecting greenbelts,

Its not just about how many units we build, but actually that we build communities again. If you remember the council houses of the past, I grew up on a council estate and now its considered posh if you’ve got a council house because its so hard to get one. But actually those council estates had green fields where kids could play, we had parks where people could go and have leisure. Our programme will make sure people can live healthy green lives as well as making sure they’ve got the houses that are energy efficient, fit for the 21st century.

Rayner said that a house building plan in 1945 transformed communities and rapidly increased the number of social homes, and Labour would emulate that if elected.

Questioned on the home-building legacy of the Blair governments, Rayner said Labour had to now go back to its fundamental values –away from right-to-buy schemes and so-called affordable housing.

When I was a young mum at 16 I was lucky enough to get a council house, many young people today are not in that position. And many families watching your programme are in substandard accommodation paying huge amounts of money for it, no chance of ever getting on the property ladder and are really frustrated they can’t get their young ones a home near to them.

Updated

'We want everyone to be better off', says Javid

The chancellor is making a concerted attempt to appeal to lower earners in this interview, with soundbites and numbers galore.

I want everyone to be better off. If you are asking me about taxes, we don’t intend to plan to increase taxes. We plan to cut taxes for working people, with the tax cuts they’ll be better off. If you are someone who hadn’t even quite reached that wage ... you [the interviewer] chose an average wage, there are many people today still on lower incomes than that and that’s why we’ve set out our proposals to increase the National Living Wage.

The former banker said that since the Tories raised the minimum amount you could be paid, people had seen a £2,000 increase to their annual pay packets.

With our new plans by 2023 thats a pay rise of £4,000. We want everyone to be better off, but our focus is going to be on working people ... And trying to help them the most.

Javid said that people would be better off in a Tory-majority post-Brexit government. “We’re the only party which is going to support businesses,” he claimed.

Asked how much the Duke of York will be missed from public life, given his work helping to create new skilled jobs and stimulating economic growth through entrepreneurial scheme Pitch@Palace:

When you mention him, the first thought that comes to my mind is the many victims of Mr Epstein, that is foremost in my mind and everything should be done that can possibly be done to help those victims. The Prince’s statement yesterday speaks for itself, I think its the right decision and the last thing on my mind would be the value of his public duties at this point.

Updated

Sajid Javid, the Chancellor, is on BBC Breakfast elaborating on the Tories’ plans to raise the threshold which lower earners begin to pay national insurance contributions.

A Conservative-majority government would cut taxes for working people by raising the national insurance to £9,500 in the first year, before seeking to raise it to £12,500 throughout their possible term in office. The current threshold is £8,632.

We’ve shown this since we’ve been back in office, that hard working people should be able to keep more of their hard earned cash.

Questioned over Boris Johnson’s claim that the initial threshold rise would immediately put £500 in every person’s pocket, Javid restated the policy without directly responding before he was pressed further.

We’ve been very clear, as soon as the prime minister had finished answering a very straightforward answer to a very good question from a young woman in Teesside where he was at the business, he set out what the plans were and since then we’ve set out in far more detail how it is going to work.

Once the threshold reaches £12,500, people will be saving £500 each – but that figure only remains an intention at this stage.

Johnson was in Teesside yesterday, where he appeared to disclose details about the policy prematurely.

In a Teesside fabrication yard @BorisJohnson may have just blurted out big manifesto offer to raise NI threshold to £12,000. PM TV interviews delayed as Tory officials decide what to do

— George Parker (@GeorgeWParker) November 20, 2019

Updated

The PM may selling this election as all about Brexit, but the apparently marginal issue of animal rights could yet prove surprisingly influential, writes the Guardian’s Patrick Barkham.

While Extinction Rebellion and the youth climate strikes have turned the climate crisis into a popular priority, Barkham says the Conservatives hope to harvest this sentiment by championing animals, after former environment secretary Michael Gove demonstrated how animal welfare action such as the ban on all ivory trade were financially painless “easy wins”.

YouGov polling commissioned by the League Against Cruel Sports has found that strengthening the 2004 Hunting Act to prevent the killing of foxes via trail hunting has the support of not only 89% of potential Labour voters but also 68% of Conservatives and 71% of Brexit party supporters.

So don’t rule out a pivot towards animal rights ... possibly partly inspired by the PM’s partner, Carrie Symonds, who has worked for international charity Oceana, championed anti-whaling causes, and who also made a surprise appearance at this summer’s Birdfair, dubbed “the conservationists’ Glastonbury”.

Updated

In case you missed it, Jo Swinson launched the Liberal Democrat’s election manifesto yesterday. You can catch up on the key policies here, including:

  • revoking article 50
  • education promises including more childcare for working parents
  • a £7bn education cash injection into the NHS raised through a 1p increase on income tax
  • a £130bn infrastructure investment in public transport

You can read the Guardian’s fact check on the party’s claim that there will be a £50bn “remain bonus” from revoking Brexit.

Updated

As usual you can read plenty of Guardian opinion pieces today, including Owen Jones on why Jeremy Corbyn must convince voters under 40 that Labour’s manifesto is worth voting for, or Johnson will triumph.

There’s also Martin Kettle on why it’s time for tactical voting in this election. He says it is right for voters to cast their ballot for the candidate with the best chance of beating the Conservatives: “This is not a time for political piety, prissiness or pride. It’s about facing the Brexit danger – and taking the one real chance of preventing it.”

Updated

The Conservatives haven’t officially unveiled their manifesto yet, but Boris Johnson let a fairly large cat out of the bag yesterday when he revealed plans to raise the threshold at which people start paying National Insurance contributions from £8,628 a year to £9,500 – eventually rising to £12,500.

And the party pushing this policy this morning, tweeting in the past hour about the PM’s support for people on low and middle incomes being able to “keep more of their hard-earned money”.

#LATEST

“I want people on low- and middle-incomes to keep more of their hard-earned money. It’s only because we will get Brexit done and end the uncertainty that we can afford to cut taxes for hard-working taxpayers." - @BorisJohnson#VoteConservativehttps://t.co/OwPjC8muBF

— Conservatives (@Conservatives) November 21, 2019

Back to housing and the Conservatives divulge plans to build 1m extra homes over the next five years today, as well as outline measures to make it easier for renters to buy. We’ll bring you more details on that later.

What else is happening today?

Apart from Labour’s manifesto launch at 11am, Boris Johnson is expected to be campaigning in Bedfordshire.

And not election-related but still on politics, the former Scottish first minister Alex Salmond is due to appear in court on a series of sexual assault and attempted rape charges. According to Press Association, the preliminary hearing is to take place at the High Court in Edinburgh. Salmond, 64, has previously denied the allegations and said he will defend himself “to the utmost” in court.

Updated

The papers front pages are less election and more Prince Andrew today. You can see a full round up here, but here are the visual highlights.

Thursday's @DailyMailUK #MailFrontPages pic.twitter.com/9NHxKqHO4L

— Daily Mail U.K. (@DailyMailUK) November 20, 2019

The Sun has "Prince Endy". pic.twitter.com/wz9TGd9uRt

— Alison Rourke (@AlisonRourke) November 21, 2019

The Express on Prince Andrew. pic.twitter.com/9QAWV2SFjD

— Alison Rourke (@AlisonRourke) November 21, 2019

The Mirror: "Andrew Bombshell" pic.twitter.com/lu69SD5xMh

— Alison Rourke (@AlisonRourke) November 21, 2019

The Guardian: Labour in £75bn pledge to tackle UK housing crisis #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/nBTfIrWYDc

— Helena Wilkinson (@BBCHelena) November 20, 2019

Thursday's front page in the Times. pic.twitter.com/ZgceYeHoNi

— Alison Rourke (@AlisonRourke) November 21, 2019

The Daily Telegraph: Duke departs from public life #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/QUHyuwz55k

— Helena Wilkinson (@BBCHelena) November 20, 2019

Financial Times: Sondland ‘followed’ orders from Trump on Ukraine quid pro quo #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/tBEToltGuP

— Helena Wilkinson (@BBCHelena) November 20, 2019

Good morning and welcome to all things politics for today. I’m Alison Rourke and I will be guiding you through the first hour or so of today’s coverage. So let’s get into it.

The big set-piece event of the day is Jeremy Corbyn launching Labour’s manifesto in Birmingham this morning. Its centrepiece is the party’s big promise on social housing ... to the tune of £75bn in a promise to “build for the many”.

Corbyn will pledge to be “on your side”, including promising to build 100,000 council houses a year and 50,000 social homes through housing associations by the end of its first term. That’s a massive jump from the 6,287 council homes built in 2018-19.

No doubt Labour hopes this pitch will appeal to the almost 1.6m families raising children in rented homes.

And how will the pledge it be paid for? The money is earmarked to come out of the recently announced £150bn “social transformation fund”.

You can see the Guardian’s fact check on whether the numbers stack up here.

(Not to be outdone on housing, the Tories will announce their “fairer deal for renters” today, so stay tuned for that.)

Another big set piece in the manifesto is Labour’s promise to create a million green jobs to tackle the climate crisis. New jobs will be promised in insulation upgrade projects, offshore wind and carbon capture developments. As the Guardian’s Kate Proctor writes: “The focus on tackling climate change while also supporting mass job creation is likely to be a resolution of tension between ambitious de-carbonisation targets set by Labour activists at the autumn party conference and union concerns about job losses.”

According to the Press Association, the manifesto will also include plans to renationalise key utilities, following a pledge to take part of BT into public ownership to deliver free full-fibre broadband for all, as well as promises to significantly boost NHS spending.

So stay tuned for a day of announcements.

Updated

Contributors

Nadeem Badshah (now); Andrew Sparrow, Mattha Busby and Alison Rourke (earlier)

The GuardianTramp

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