What measures are UK ministers considering to curb second wave of Covid-19?

Curfew to nationwide lockdown being examined as country reaches ‘tipping point’

As the number of Covid-19 cases continue to rise in the UK, we examine the measures ministers are considering to curb the transmission rate of the virus.

‘Circuit breakers’

These are short, sharp, periods of tightened and targeted restrictions nationwide to slow transmission in the community. Schools and workplaces would remain open, but the hospitality sector – bars and restaurants – could be closed for a short period. A temporary two-week national “circuit break” would lead to a controlled drop in transmission without the need for a full lockdown. The advantage is hospitals are less likely to be overwhelmed, and contact tracing likely to be more effective. When virus levels are lower, outbreaks are easier to spot and target. Once the circuit break is over, however, cases would begin to rise again. It could take several to get through winter. Also, the government is facing resistance from some senior Conservative MPs concerned that ministers are using increasingly stringent measures with little or no parliamentary scrutiny.

default

Full national lockdown

This would be the “last line of defence”, which Boris Johnson is said to be desperate to avoid. Another nationwide lockdown would inflict further economic damage. But the health secretary, Matt Hancock, refused to rule it out on Sunday if the public continues to flout social distancing rules. Hancock warned the UK was at “tipping point”, with hospital admissions doubling “every eight days”. One expert, Prof Carl Heneghan, the director of Oxford University’s Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, has claimed it is too early for very harsh measures, saying the tighter restrictions may be needed later on. “If you’re looking at a break and when we need it, we need it in the mid-winter when we might run into problems,” he said. One government adviser, ProfRobert Dingwall, has said there is a sense that the government may be “perhaps jumping the gun” with such tough measures so soon.

Pubs and restaurants curfews or closures

The combination of close contact with others in an indoor venue is known to increase the risk of Covid-19 spreading. Add to that the influence of alcohol on the observance of physical distancing measures, and the risk is even higher. From Tuesday, about 13.5 million people across the UK, including parts of the north-east and north-west, see 10pm curfews for bars and restaurants, with some of the latter only allowed to offer a take-away service. The mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, believes the capital could be just “two or three” days behind the coronavirus hotspots in the north of England, and is pressing for such measures in London. Some experts believe only the complete shutting of pubs, bars and restaurants will be effective. And, clearly, people can transmit the virus before 10pm. But the government is striving to balance risk against the economic impact. Tim Martin, the boss of Wetherspoons, has warned pubs and hospitality businesses could be wiped out by further restrictions. Nick Mackenzie, the chief executive of Green King, has said a 10pm curfew would cause “further damage and hit city centre pubs most, especially in London”.

default

Policed quarantine

From 28 September people in England will have a legal duty to self-isolate for 14 days if they test positive for coronavirus or they are instructed to do so by NHS test and trace, with fines of up to £10,000 if flouted. Those on benefits are eligible for a one-off support payment of £500 if they face loss of earnings for having to self-isolate. Under the new rules, contact tracers will be expected to make regular contact with those self-isolating. But the effectiveness of the test-and-trace system has been regularly challenged. On Sunday, Keir Starmer said it was in a state of “near collapse”. The Labour leader said: “Because the government’s now effectively lost control of testing, it doesn’t necessarily know where the virus is.”

Contributor

Caroline Davies

The GuardianTramp

Related Content

Article image
'Don’t bake in a tent': Boris Johnson's painful week as a punchline
Rocked by rebellious Tories, a resurgent Labour and crises from Covid to Brexit, the PM is fighting to keep control of the narrative

Heather Stewart Political editor

26, Sep, 2020 @5:00 AM

Article image
‘Encouraging signs’ plan B Covid measures may soon be lifted in England
Minister hints that some or all restrictions may be removed after review on 26 January

Andrew Gregory Health editor

16, Jan, 2022 @5:26 PM

Article image
Easing Covid-19 shielding in England 'risks second wave'
Operators warn new guidance for vulnerable people could bring virus back into care homes

Robert Booth and Rowena Mason

01, Jun, 2020 @5:39 PM

Article image
Fightback against rise in Covid cases thrashed out at No 10 summit
Boris Johnson held lengthy meeting with scientists about bringing down UK infection rate

Jessica Elgot and Severin Carrell

21, Sep, 2020 @9:30 PM

Article image
At least 10 cabinet ministers considering prime ministerial bids
Jeremy Hunt and Michael Gove among the Tories who could try to succeed Theresa May

Rowena Mason, Heather Stewart , Rajeev Syal and Jessica Elgot

28, Mar, 2019 @7:59 PM

Article image
'It’s world-leadingly bad, is what it is': the week Covid surged again in UK
Queues for tests are growing, Tory MPs are agitated and doctors are sceptical about the ‘moonshot’

Archie Bland, Simon Murphy and Mattha Busby

11, Sep, 2020 @3:45 PM

Article image
UK Covid news: India added to England’s travel red list – as it happened
India added to travel red list, Hancock tells MPs, as number of Indian variant cases in UK rises to 103

Andrew Sparrow

19, Apr, 2021 @4:33 PM

Article image
'Chumocracy': how Covid revealed the new shape of the Tory establishment
Appointments made and contracts awarded during the pandemic have uncovered a web of connections

David Conn, David Pegg, Rob Evans, Juliette Garside and Felicity Lawrence

15, Nov, 2020 @12:40 PM

Article image
Who are the doves and hawks of UK's Covid-19 lockdown policy?
A look at where key figures stand, from a cautious PM to a chancellor eager to lift controls

Kate Proctor and Rowena Mason

20, Apr, 2020 @6:15 PM

Article image
Earlier lockdown could have saved lives of 30,000, Hancock tells Covid inquiry
Ex-health secretary has described Boris Johnson’s Downing Street as undermined by ‘culture of fear’

Peter Walker Deputy political editor

30, Nov, 2023 @6:12 PM