Peter Bradshaw's predictions for the 2017 film Baftas

With La La Land, Nocturnal Animals and I, Daniel Blake squaring up for this weekend’s Bafta film awards, place your bets for the big winners

Best film

Will win: La La Land

Should win: La La Land

Shoulda been a contender: Nocturnal Animals

Ryan Gosling on La La Land: ‘The world is quick to shame you for trying’

Outstanding British film

Will win: I, Daniel Blake

Should win: I, Daniel Blake

Shoulda been a contender: American Honey

Outstanding debut

Will win: Under the Shadow

Should win: The Hard Stop

Shoulda been a contender: The Greasy Strangler

Film not in the English language

Will win: Toni Erdmann

Should win: Son of Saul

Shoulda been a contender: Tale of Tales

Toni Erdmann: UK trailer for Oscar favourite German comedy – video

Best documentary

Will win: 13th

Should win: 13th

Shoulda been a contender: Fire at Sea

Best animated film

Will win: Finding Dory

Should win: Zootopia

Shoulda been a contender: The Lego Batman Movie

Best director

Will win: Damien Chazelle for La La Land

Should win: Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester By the Sea

Shoulda been a contender: Barry Jenkins for Moonlight

Michelle Williams on Manchester by the Sea: ‘Closure only comes when we die’ – video

Best original screenplay

Will win: Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester By the Sea

Should win: Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester By the Sea

Shoulda been a contender: Shane Black for The Nice Guys

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Eric Heisserer for Arrival

Should win: Tom Ford for Nocturnal Animals

Should been a contender: Melissa Mathison for The BFG

Best actor

Will win: Casey Affleck for Manchester By the Sea

Should win: Casey Affleck for Manchester By the Sea

Shoulda been a contender: Tim Roth for Chronic

Best actress

Will win: Natalie Portman for Jackie

Should win: Emma Stone for La La Land

Shoulda been a contender: Ruth Negga for Loving

Best supporting actor

Will win: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight

Should win: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight

Shoulda been a contender: Tom Bennett for Love & Friendship

Moonlight trailer: Barry Jenkins’s Oscar-tipped drama – video

Best supporting actress

Will win: Hayley Squires for I, Daniel Blake

Should win: Hayley Squires for I, Daniel Blake

Shoulda been a contender: Laura Linney for Nocturnal Animals

Best music

Will win: Justin Hurwitz for La La Land

Should win: Justin Hurwitz for La La Land

Shoulda been a contender: Scott Walker for The Childhood of a Leader

Best cinematography

Will win: Bradford Young for Arrival

Should win: Seamus McGarvey for Nocturnal Animals

Shoulda been a contender: Natasha Braier for The Neon Demon

Best editing

Will win: John Gilbert for Hacksaw Ridge

Should win: Joan Sobel for Nocturnal Animals

Shoulda been a contender: Jake Roberts for Hell Or High Water

  • The Baftas take place on 12 February and are broadcast on BBC1, 9-11pm

Contributor

Peter Bradshaw

The GuardianTramp

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