Oscars 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win? | Peter Bradshaw

Can Smith pip Cumberbatch? Will Campion steal the show? And what about Bond? Our critic weighs up who will leave the Dolby theatre with a gong

Best picture

Will win: The Power of the Dog
Should win: Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight

Best director

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Céline Sciamma for Petite Maman

Best actor

Will win: Will Smith for King Richard
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Oscar Isaac for The Card Counter

Best actress

Will win: Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter
Shoulda been a contender: Rachel Sennott for Shiva Baby

Best supporting actor

Will win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Woody Norman for C’mon C’mon

Best supporting actress

Will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Should win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Shoulda been a contender: June Squibb for The Humans

Best animated feature

Will win: Encanto
Should win: Flee
Shoulda been a contender: Belle (dir Mamoru Hosoda)

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Dune
Should win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: Rebecca Hall for Passing

Best original screenplay

Will win: Belfast
Should win: Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Ron and Russell Mael for Annette

Best documentary

Will win: Summer of Soul
Should win: Summer of Soul
Shoulda been a contender: The Rescue

Best international feature film

Will win: The Worst Person In the World
Should win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: Azor

Best production design

Will win: Nightmare Alley
Should win: Nightmare Alley
Shoulda been a contender: Licorice Pizza

Best cinematography

Will win: Dune
Should win: Dune
Shoulda been a contender: Last Night in Soho

Best makeup and hairstyling

Will win: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Cruella
Shoulda been a contender: West Side Story

Best costume design

Will win: West Side Story
Should win: West Side Story
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight

Best editing

Will win: King Richard
Should win: King Richard
Shoulda been a contender: No Time to Die

Contributor

Peter Bradshaw

The GuardianTramp

Related Content

Article image
Oscars nominations 2022: the full list
From Dune to The Power of the Dog, all the nominations for the 94th Academy Awards, which take place on 27 March

Guardian film

08, Feb, 2022 @2:01 PM

Article image
Oscars 2022: Will Smith not facing charges for slapping Chris Rock, says LAPD, as Academy releases statement – as it happened
Family drama Coda won best picture at a ceremony that was overshadowed by Will Smith attacking Chris Rock

Kevin Rawlinson (now); Stuart Heritage and Benjamin Lee (earlier)

28, Mar, 2022 @11:29 AM

Article image
Peter Bradshaw’s Bafta 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win?
Jane Campion, Kenneth Branagh, Benedict Cumberbatch … our critic weighs up who will leave Sunday’s ceremony with a gong

Peter Bradshaw

11, Mar, 2022 @1:32 PM

Article image
Oscar nominations triumph confirms The Power of the Dog’s classic status
Like Nomadland, Jane Campion’s western speaks to the American heartland, while Kenneth Branagh’s Belfast is suffering from awards season backlash

Peter Bradshaw

08, Feb, 2022 @5:12 PM

Article image
Dune and The Power of the Dog lead Bafta nominations as awards move on from Noel Clarke
Sci-fi blockbuster has 11 nominations and Jane Campion western starring Benedict Cumberbatch has eight

Andrew Pulver

03, Feb, 2022 @12:37 PM

Article image
Olivia Colman overcomes Bafta snub to take London critics’ best actress award
Colman wins prize for her role in The Lost Daughter, while Jane Campion’s western The Power of the Dog also triumphed taking home four awards

Andrew Pulver

07, Feb, 2022 @11:20 AM

Article image
Why The Power of the Dog should win the best picture Oscar
Jane Campion’s uncompromising, uneasy 1920s drama delivers a career-best performance by Benedict Cumberbatch and marks a victory for queer films at large

Benjamin Lee

25, Mar, 2022 @8:00 AM

Article image
Screen Actors Guild nominations: Succession, Ted Lasso and House of Gucci rule
The Sag awards, which honour both film and TV, are seen as an indicator of Oscar success

Benjamin Lee

12, Jan, 2022 @4:08 PM

Article image
A loo with a view: on the ground at the Oscars with the celebs and the civilians
From Questlove to Olivia Colman via the makeup artists and their mums, our writer loiters in the stairwell at a most dramatic ceremony

Kate Hutchinson

28, Mar, 2022 @3:30 PM

Article image
Red carpets and banana skins: Jane Campion and the Oscars hopefuls who jeopardised their chances
The Power of the Dog director has apologised for remarks about the Williams sisters, but they could cost her a gong. If so, she wouldn’t be the first nominee to fall from A-list to blacklist

Ryan Gilbey

17, Mar, 2022 @3:33 PM