Peter Bradshaw’s Bafta 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win?

Jane Campion, Kenneth Branagh, Benedict Cumberbatch … our critic weighs up who will leave Sunday’s ceremony with a gong

Best film

Will win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion)
Should win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion)
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight (dir. David Lowery)

Outstanding British film

Will win: Belfast (dir. Kenneth Branagh)
Should win: After Love (dir. Aleem Khan)
Shoulda been a contender: The Souvenir Part II (dir. Joanna Hogg)

Best director

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Joanna Hogg for The Souvenir Part II

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer

Will win: Rebecca Hall for Passing
Should win: Aleem Khan for After Love
Shoulda been a contender: Prano Bailey-Bond for Censor

Best film not in the English language

Will win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi)
Should win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi)
Shoulda been a contender: Azor (dir. Andreas Fontana)

Best documentary

Will win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Shoulda been a contender: State Funeral (dir. Sergei Loznitsa)

Best animated film

Will win: Encanto (dirs. Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Charise Castro Smith)
Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Shoulda been a contender: Accidental Luxuriance of the Translucent Watery Rebus (dir. Dalibor Baric)

Best original screenplay

Will win: Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Andy Siara and Max Barbakow for Palm Springs

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Ryu Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe for Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: David Lowery for The Green Knight

Best actor

Will win: Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Adeel Akhtar for Ali & Ava
Shoulda been a contender: Clayne Crawford for The Killing of Two Lovers

Best actress

Will win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love
Should win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love
Shoulda been a contender: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter

Best supporting actor

Will win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Woody Norman for C’mon C’mon
Shoulda been a contender: Raúl Briones for A Cop Movie

Best supporting actress

Will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Should win: Ruth Negga for Passing
Shoulda been a contender: Lashana Lynch for Eye for Eye

Best music

Will win: Hans Zimmer for Dune
Should win: Hans Zimmer for Dune
Shoulda been a contender: Jonathan Larson for tick, tick … BOOM! (posthumous)

Best cinematography

Will win: Greig Fraser for Dune
Should win: Ari Wegner for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Claire Mathon for Spencer

• The Baftas ceremony is on 13 March and will be broadcast on BBC One

Contributor

Peter Bradshaw

The GuardianTramp

Related Content

Article image
Oscars nominations 2022: the full list
From Dune to The Power of the Dog, all the nominations for the 94th Academy Awards, which take place on 27 March

Guardian film

08, Feb, 2022 @2:01 PM

Article image
Dune and The Power of the Dog lead Bafta nominations as awards move on from Noel Clarke
Sci-fi blockbuster has 11 nominations and Jane Campion western starring Benedict Cumberbatch has eight

Andrew Pulver

03, Feb, 2022 @12:37 PM

Article image
Oscars 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win? | Peter Bradshaw
Can Smith pip Cumberbatch? Will Campion steal the show? And what about Bond? Our critic weighs up who will leave the Dolby theatre with a gong

Peter Bradshaw

27, Mar, 2022 @1:53 PM

Article image
Golden Globes 2022 tries to do better as Lady Gaga brings the outrage
After a year of criticism over diversity, the Golden Globes have come up with a decent slate of nominees, with Gaga surely the favourite for best actress

Peter Bradshaw

13, Dec, 2021 @5:06 PM

Article image
My award goes to... our film critics reveal their personal Oscars shortlists
Ahead of the official Academy nominations, Observer film critics pick their own favourites

Mark Kermode, Wendy Ide, Simran Hans, Guy Lodge

06, Feb, 2022 @12:00 PM

Article image
Baftas 2022: the full list of nominations
From Dune to The Power of the Dog, all the films up for a gong at the Bafta film awards

Guardian film

03, Feb, 2022 @12:30 PM

Article image
Baftas 2022: a lively, good-taste nomination list despite some surprising omissions | Peter Bradshaw
A diverse set of contenders and panoply of worthy potential winners mean 2022’s ceremony can get the Baftas back on track

Peter Bradshaw

03, Feb, 2022 @2:36 PM

Article image
Olivia Colman overcomes Bafta snub to take London critics’ best actress award
Colman wins prize for her role in The Lost Daughter, while Jane Campion’s western The Power of the Dog also triumphed taking home four awards

Andrew Pulver

07, Feb, 2022 @11:20 AM

Article image
Oscar nominations triumph confirms The Power of the Dog’s classic status
Like Nomadland, Jane Campion’s western speaks to the American heartland, while Kenneth Branagh’s Belfast is suffering from awards season backlash

Peter Bradshaw

08, Feb, 2022 @5:12 PM

Article image
Bassey bosses it, raucous gags and muted politics: 9 things we learned from the Baftas 2022
The key takeaways from a ceremony that saw The Power of the Dog triumph – but Coda and Belfast emerge the real winners

Catherine Shoard, Andrew Pulver and Alex Needham

13, Mar, 2022 @11:53 PM