Best picture
Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Best director
Will win: David Fincher for Mank
Should win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Christopher Nolan for Tenet
Best actor
Will win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Should win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Shoulda been a contender: Lance Henriksen for Falling
Best actress
Will win: Vanessa Kirby for Pieces of a Woman
Should win: Frances McDormand for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Rosamund Pike for I Care A Lot
Best supporting actor
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Should win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Shoulda been a contender: Michael Stuhlbarg for Shirley
Best supporting actress
Will win: Amanda Seyfried for Mank
Should win: Youn Yuh-jung for Minari
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Collette for I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Best animated feature
Will win: Soul
Should win: Soul
Shoulda been a contender: Kill It and Leave This Town
Best adapted screenplay
Will win: Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller for The Father
Should win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Charlie Kaufman for I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Best original screenplay
Will win: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman
Shoulda been a contender: Andy Siara for Palm Springs
Best documentary
Will win: Time
Should win: Collective
Shoulda been a contender: Mother
Best international feature film
Will win: Another Round
Should win: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Shoulda been a contender: Dear Comrades!
