Peter Bradshaw’s Baftas 2021 predictions: who will win – and who should

Our film critic picks his winners ahead of the big night – and the gems left off the nominations list altogether

Best film

Will win: The Father
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Minari

Outstanding British film

Will win: The Dig
Should win: Rocks
Shoulda been a contender: Days of the Bagnold Summer

Best director

Will win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Should win: Jasmila Žbanić for Quo Vadis, Aida?
Shoulda been a contender: Christopher Nolan for Tenet

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer

Will win: Rocks – Theresa Ikoko, Claire Wilson (writers)
Should win: Limbo – Ben Sharrock (writer/director), Irune Gurtubai (producer)
Shoulda been a contender: Lynn + Lucy - Fyzal Boulifa (director)

Best film not in the English language

Will win: Another Round
Should win: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Shoulda been a contender: The Good Girls

Best documentary

Will win: My Octopus Teacher
Should win: Collective
Shoulda been a contender: Mother

Best animated film

Will win: Soul
Should win: Soul
Shoulda been a contender: Kill It and Leave This Town

Best original screenplay

Will win: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman
Shoulda been a contender: Eliza Hittman for Never Rarely Sometimes Always

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Moira Buffini for The Dig
Should win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Charlie Kaufman for I’m Thinking of Ending Things

Best actor

Will win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Should win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Shoulda been a contender: Robert Pattinson for The Devil All the Time

Best actress

Will win: Vanessa Kirby for Pieces of a Woman
Should win: Frances McDormand for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Rosamund Pike for I Care a Lot

Best supporting actor

Will win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Should win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Shoulda been a contender: Jérémie Renier for Slalom

Best supporting actress

Will win: Maria Bakalova for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Should win: Youn Yuh-jung for Minari
Shoulda been a contender: Jennifer Ehle for Saint Maud

Best music

Will win: Soul
Should win: Soul
Shoulda been a contender: I’m Thinking of Ending Things

Best cinematography

Will win: Mank
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Rebecca

Contributor

Peter Bradshaw

The GuardianTramp

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